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Track record
Every forecast is logged the day it is published, with its first window and chance, and graded afterwards. A forecast written after a release was already out is never counted.
No live forecast has resolved yet. Results appear here as products ship or their windows close, and misses stay on this page.
Open forecasts
| Product | Logged | First window | Chance | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank Math SEO 1.0.281 | 31 October 2026 | 1 November 2026 to 10 November 2026 | 20% | Open |
| Advanced Custom Fields 6.8.11 | 31 October 2026 | 1 November 2026 to 10 November 2026 | 20% | Open |
| Wordfence Security 9.0.3 | 31 October 2026 | 1 November 2026 to 10 November 2026 | 20% | Open |
| Jetpack 16.4 | 31 October 2026 | 2 November 2026 to 10 November 2026 | 60% | Open |
| Elementor 4.4 | 31 October 2026 | 7 November 2026 to 18 November 2026 | 70% | Open |
| Yoast SEO 28.9 | 31 October 2026 | 8 November 2026 to 12 November 2026 | 70% | Open |
| Starter Templates: AI-Powered Website Templates for Elementor & Gutenberg 4.7.11 | 1 November 2026 | 6 November 2026 to 17 November 2026 | 70% | Open |
| Gutenberg 24.4 | 31 October 2026 | 9 November 2026 to 13 November 2026 | 70% | Open |
| WooCommerce 11.3 | 31 October 2026 | 10 November 2026 to 16 November 2026 | 70% | Open |
| Kadence Blocks 3.8.2 | 31 October 2026 | 9 November 2026 to 28 November 2026 | 60% | Open |
| Backuply 1.6.1 | 1 November 2026 | 10 November 2026 to 3 January 2027 | 50% | Open |
| All in One SEO 5.0.5 | 1 November 2026 | 4 November 2026 to 23 November 2026 | 60% | Open |
| All-in-One WP Migration and Backup 7.114 | 1 November 2026 | 4 November 2026 to 8 December 2026 | 60% | Open |
| UpdraftPlus 1.26.15 | 31 October 2026 | 3 November 2026 to 11 December 2026 | 56% | Open |
| Kadence Security 10.0.7 | 1 November 2026 | 19 November 2026 to 10 December 2026 | 33% | Open |
| WPForms Lite 2.0.4 | 31 October 2026 | 11 November 2026 to 17 January 2027 | 60% | Open |
| All-In-One Security (AIOS) 5.5.2 | 1 November 2026 | 23 November 2026 to 7 January 2027 | 60% | Open |
| WordPress 7.2 | 31 October 2026 | Official: 8 December 2026 | n/a | Scheduled |
| LiteSpeed Cache 7.9.3 | 31 October 2026 | 17 November 2026 to 30 January 2027 | 50% | Open |
| Contact Form 7 6.2.5 | 31 October 2026 | 4 November 2026 to 1 February 2027 | 56% | Open |
| Akismet Anti-spam: Spam Protection 5.8 | 1 November 2026 | 10 January 2027 to 2 September 2027 | 20% | Open |
| Autoptimize 3.1.18 | 1 November 2026 | 2 January 2027 to 9 May 2027 | 60% | Open |
| WordPress 7.3 | 31 October 2026 | 15 March 2027 to 8 July 2027 | 33% | Open |
Resolved
Nothing yet.
Backtests (replays of the past, not live forecasts)
For products with a long release history we replay the method as if it were run before each past release, using only what was known then. These are shown so you can judge the method. They are never counted above. The samples are small and overlap.
| Product | Method | Replays | Typical miss | Inside window | Chance we claimed | Window width |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| advanced-custom-fields | Release rhythm | 20 | 11 days | 75% | 60% | 41 days |
| contact-form-7 | Release rhythm | 20 | 21 days | 60% | 60% | 49 days |
| elementor | Test version seen | 10 | 5 days | 70% | 69% | 9 days |
| elementor | Release rhythm | 10 | 11 days | 90% | 64% | 24 days |
| freesoul-deactivate-plugins | Release rhythm | 5 | 167 days | 60% | 40% | 320 days |
| gutenberg | Release rhythm | 20 | 0 days | 85% | 67% | 5 days |
| jetpack | Release rhythm | 20 | 3 days | 65% | 68% | 9 days |
| kadence-blocks | Release rhythm | 20 | 5 days | 60% | 57% | 26 days |
| litespeed-cache | Release rhythm | 7 | 21 days | 57% | 53% | 49 days |
| seo-by-rank-math | Release rhythm | 20 | 0 days | 90% | 67% | 5 days |
| updraftplus | Release rhythm | 20 | 21 days | 70% | 59% | 45 days |
| woocommerce | Test version seen | 10 | 1 days | 90% | 70% | 10 days |
| woocommerce | Release rhythm | 10 | 6 days | 50% | 66% | 19 days |
| wordfence | Release rhythm | 20 | 24 days | 65% | 61% | 87 days |
| wordpress-seo | Release rhythm | 20 | 0 days | 100% | 68% | 5 days |
| wpforms-lite | Release rhythm | 20 | 8 days | 65% | 64% | 46 days |
Self-checks
The last automatic audit on 1 November 2026 checked 22 pages and found 0 wrong.